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When: Saturday, October 27, 2007 Post time 12:30 ET
Where: Monmouth Park, Oceanport, New Jersey
Distance: 1 1/16 Juvenile Filliess
Purse: $2 million
The Juvenile Fillies is owned by D. Wayne Lukas, who has won the race five times in his hall of fame career, with Cash Run, Flanders, Open Mind, Twilight Ridge, and most recently Folklore in 2005 on his resume.
Lukas pulled off one of the biggest upsets in Juvenile Fillies history when he won the 1999 running with Cash Run, who returned $67.00 for a $2 wager.
The only higher priced winner of the race was Caressing, who pulled off the stunner in 2000 at Churchill Downs, paying $96.00 for the win and topping a trifecta payoff of $18,355.80.
Caressing was owned by Carl Pollard and trained by David Vance.
In recent years, the Juvenile Fillies winner has figured. In fact, the favorite has won the last five runnings of the race, and eight of the last eleven.
The last chalk to go down occurred in 2001 where You was sent off at 4/5 and checked in fourth. Tempera pulled off the upset, returning $25.80 for the victory.
Winning the race makes it just about automatic that the filly will win year-end honors. 20 of the 23 winners of the race have gone on to win the Eclipse Award for outstanding two year old filly.
There have been several photo finishes in the race. The closest was in 1987 when Epitome, with Pat Day aboard, got her nose in front of Jeanna Jones and jockey Bill Shoemaker. The winner paid $62.80.
One of the most impressive victories was Countess Diana, who rolled over her competition to win in 1997 by 8 ½ lengths. Her trainer Patrick Byrne also won the Juvenile that year with Favorite Trick.
18 of the 23 winners were bred in Kentucky. Three were bred in Florida, one each in New Jersey and Pennsylvania.
While front runners have won the last two runnings of the race, horses coming from off the pace have done better overall. There have only been three front running scores in the first 23 runnings of the race.
The ideal running style for the winner would be a filly who can rate from mid pack.
The race has been dominated by U.S. based fillies. Only 12 have come from abroad to run in the Juvenile Fillies, the best finishes a fourth place finish by Coup De Genie in 1993, and a fourth place finish by Belle Genius in 1994.
Average Exotic payoffs for last four years:
$2 exacta: $65.07
$2 trifecta: $409.87
$2 superfecta: $4,673.35
Saratoga
Saratoga opens for the 143rd year on Friday, July 22 for an outstanding 40-day meeting that includes over 50 stakes races and 17 Grade 1 races. The marquee event of the meeting is the $1 million Travers Stakes (G1) on Saturday, Aug. 27.
Michael Dempsey will be providing his full card selections throughout the meeting. Mike’s Reports include his selections, analysis, fair odds, and wagering recommendations for every race.
Get your day off to a good start with Michael’s Free Pick of the day from Saratoga.
For information on Saratoga including stakes information, wagering menu, post time information, and track layout Click Here.
Keeneland
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Churchill Downs
The spring/summer meeting at Churchill Downs gets underway on Saturday April 30, with 24 graded stakes on the betting menu. The marquee events are the Kentucky Oaks (G1) and Kentucky Derby (G1).
Michael Dempsey will be providing Full Card Analysis for Churchill Downs from Friday through Sunday each week.
Each racing day Michael will be providing his Free Betting Selection of the day for Churchill Downs.
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Belmont Park
Racing in New York shifts to Belmont Park on Friday April 29 for the spring / summer meeting, which includes the Belmont Stakes (G1) on Saturday June 11.
Michael Dempsey will be providing Full Card Analysis for Belmont Park each racing day from Wednesday through Sunday.
Each racing day Michael will be providing his Free Betting Selection of the day for Belmont Park.
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Gulfstream Park
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Aqueduct
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