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I have survived Tropical Storm Lee so far, with no loss of power, and I even got to see Havre de Grace run right by my top pick Rule in yesterday’s $750,000 Woodward yesterday.

We have just two days left in the Spa meeting, and we have a really good 12-race card on tap this afternoon including three stakes races. spablog10.gif

The stakes action starts with the third race, the $75,000 Sightseek which drew a field of five fillies and mares who will go nine furlongs on the main track.

Connie and Michael is the 2/1 morning line favorite, but I think she looks like a vulnerable favorite, but with just four others to pick from, it is not much of a betting race.

The $100,000 Saranac (G3) is one of the better wagering races on today’s card. A field of 12 will go nine furlongs on the inner turf.

It is tough to separate the top four or five likely betting choices, and I landed on Seal Cove. The colt steps into graded company for the first time here but this guy still appears to have some upside and the Shug barn has been on a  nice roll over the past couple of months.

The colt is bred to be a good one, a half to turf stakes winner Quiet harbor ($274K), turf graded stakes placed Minister’s Joy ($327K) and dirt graded stakes winner Hunting ($286K).

And then we have today’s Spinaway:

Sunday’s Featured Race of the Day from Saratoga:

SAR Race 10 The Spinaway G1 (6:04 ET)

#2 And Why Not   6/1

#1 True Feelings / #1a Grace Hall   7/2

#5 Lady Pecan   8/1

#3 Georgie’s Angel   2/1

Analysis: #2 And Why Not was a very impressive looking maiden winner, getting outrun early, making a good middle move around the far turn and drawing off late to win by 5 1/2 lengths. The filly made up that ground over a racing strip that was playing to speed that day. In addition, the Matz barn does not win first out very often. The filly was expensive, purchased for $775K last summer. She is out of the stakes placed Alchemist ($200K) who has dropped three other foals to race, all winners, top earner 3 for 10 Burj Dubai ($77K). With Pletcher, Baffert and Ward having runners in here, we should catch a square price.

#1 True Feeling was a good looking maiden winner in her debut although her speed fig came back on the light side. Last out she came with a five wide bid and finished up well to finish second behind #3 Georgie’s Angel in the Schuylerville (G3) here on opening day. She came back with a bullet drill for the Tony D. barn and the extra furlong here should suit. The filly is out of the stakes winner Grand Charmer ($210K).

#7 Judy the Beauty is undefeated in three starts and makes her first start on dirt off sharp works at the Big A for the Ward barn. She is going to get some play off her stakes win at Woodbine, but four she beat that day were still maidens, so let’s try to beat her.

Wagering

WIN: #2 to win at 3/1 or better.

EX: 1,2 / 1,2,3,5

TRI: 1,2 / 1,2,3,5 / 1,2,3,5,7

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Sunday’s Price Plays at Saratoga

These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.

R1: #7 Equivocation   12/1

R1: #8 Cooper River   8/1

R2: #2 Sharp Tongue Lady   8/1

R2: #7 Silvislip   15/1

R4: #1 Implosion   12/1

R6: #8 Karlovy Vary   8/1

R7: #7 Trading Paint   8/1

R8: #8 Alarmist   15/1

R8: #1 Angel Ray   12/1

R10: #5 Lady Pecan   8/1

R11: #7 Mean Reversion   8/1

R11: #2 Torrone   12/1

R12: #1 Famous Rose   15/1